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Harvard study finds ‘striking’ rejection of Obamacare by young Americans

By   /   December 9, 2013  /   No Comments

Part 80 of 93 in the series Obamacare
FATAL?: A new survey from Harvard University found a large majority of young Americans do not believe the law will save them money, do not believe it will improve their health and do not intend to sign up for insurance through the new exchanges.

FATAL?: A new survey from Harvard University found a large majority of young Americans do not believe the law will save them money, do not believe it will improve their health and do not intend to sign up for insurance through the new exchanges.

 

By Eric Boehm | Watchdog.org

Obamacare is striking out with young people — those healthy folks who are suppose to actually make it work.

Young people are perhaps the most important demographic to the success of the Affordable Care Act, but most Americans under 30 are opposed to the law. They particularly dislike the individual mandate that requires them to buy insurance or pay fines in form of higher taxes.

A new survey from Harvard University found a large majority of young Americans do not believe the law will save them money, do not believe it will improve their health and do not intend to sign up for insurance through the new exchanges.

BAD NEWS: Young people are turning against the Affordable Care Act, and that's bad news for the law's supporters. But the high premiums caused by the Affordable Care Act is equally bad news for many millennials.

BAD NEWS: Young people are turning against the Affordable Care Act, and that’s bad news for the law’s supporters. But the high premiums caused by the Affordable Care Act is equally bad news for many millennials.

If that’s all true – particularly the last part – it is very bad news for President Barack Obama’s signature policy achievement.

The Affordable Care Act hinges on getting young, mostly healthy people to sign up for insurance. That will help spread out the costs incurred by the older, more expensive enrollees who also will use the system.

This cost-pooling is central to the economics that underpin the law, and if young people decline to enroll, costs for everyone else could skyrocket.

The data from the survey demonstrates a striking rejection of the ACA by millennials under 30,” wrote John Pulice of the Harvard Political Review, which provided analysis of the survey.

The 2013 Harvard Public Opinion survey included interviews with 2,089 Americans between the ages of 18 and 29. Interviews were conducted between Oct. 30 and Nov. 11, and the poll has a margin of error of 2.1 percent.

The results show many young people are not buying the promises of Obamacare. A mere 17 percent of those polled believe their quality of health care will improve under the Affordable Care Act, while 44 say it will get worse.

But millennials’ views on health care costs are even bleaker.

Only 10 percent of those surveyed said the ACA will decrease their health care costs, with 50 percent saying it will increase their costs and 36 percent expecting their costs to stay the same, according to the Harvard poll.

Of those surveyed, only 20 percent said they plan to enroll in a health care plan through an exchange, while 47 percent said they would not enroll.

Elise Wilkinson, a 25-year-old who recently graduated from Quinnipaic Law School in Connecticut, said her biggest worry about Obamacare is the uncertainty of everything.  She’ll be off her parents’ health plan in less than a year and expects to see high premiums.

“I also see a lot of friends around my age who are seeing their plans go up in cost while either adding nothing or requiring add-ons they don’t want or need,” she told Watchdog.org. “It makes me foresee high costs in my future.”

With young people being such an important demographic for Obamacare’s success, both sides have focused outreach efforts on millennials.

The anti-Obamacare group Generation Opportunity has run a series of web advertisements featuring a “creepy Uncle Sam” posing as a doctor.  The group wants to get young people to “opt-out” of Obamacare by telling them upfront about the costs and consequences of signing up for insurance through the exchanges.


YouTube

“Obamacare’s success depends on millions of young people paying three times more for insurance so older people can pay slightly less. It’s a generational game rigged against us, and we’re not interested in playing,” Evan Feinberg, the group’s president, said in a statement.

The White House has taken notice.  Obama recently took a thinly-veiled shot at Generation Opportunity’s outreach efforts.

“That’s a really bizarre way to spend your money, to try to convince people not to get health insurance, not to get free preventive care, not to  make sure that they’re able to survive an accident or an illness,” Obama said of the group’s advertisements and college campus visits with their big-headed Uncle Sam mascot.

While speaking to a crowd of youth activists, Obama made the case for why young people should sign up for health insurance.

“If you get sick, and you get to the hospital and you don’t have any coverage, then somebody else is also going to be paying for it,” he said.

Heritage Foundation

BY THE NUMBERS: Young people, it would seem, have plenty to be worried about when it comes to health insurance premiums under Obamacare. Click to enlarge.

Pro-Obamacare groups like Progress Now also have crafted ads aimed at young people.

In one, college students are told to sign up for Obamacare so they can have access to contraception for post-party hookups.  Another warns of injuries from keg stands and suggests that buying insurance through Obamacare is the best solution – instead of, perhaps, suggesting that binge drinking might be a problem.

But the Harvard poll shows many young people can see through those  efforts, and the numbers indicate millennials are right to be worried about the cost of health insurance and the transfer of wealth from one generation to another.

On the federal and state-based health insurance exchanges, the biggest premium hikes are for those under 27, according to research from the conservative Heritage Foundation.

And critics say the fundamental premise of the health care law, which depends on young people helping offset the cost of older enrollees, continues a trend that has been rolling along for a while.

According to the Pew Research Center, households headed by people 65 or older had 10 times the wealth of households headed by people under 35, in 1984.

By 2009, that gap had increased to the point that households headed by people over 65 had 47 times the wealth of households headed by people under 35.

The number of people under 35 living in poverty, meanwhile, is double the number of poverty-stricken senior citizens, according to the same data.

Boehm is a reporter for Watchdog.org and can be reached at EBoehm@Watchdog.org. Follow him on Twitter at @EricBoehm87

Part of 93 in the series Obamacare
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  3. Obamacare raises questions for MD small business owners
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  5. Obamacare insurance marketplace has plenty of kinks on first day
  6. OR’s Obamacare insurance marketplace hits technological snag
  7. Fail: Day 1 of the New Mexico Obamacare rollout
  8. Senator asks: Do you want this dysfunctional government taking over health care?
  9. Jobs, coverage at risk with Obamacare, MN union health official says
  10. Oregon’s Obamacare ads resemble middle school art
  11. VIDEO: Obamacare vs Affordable Care Act: Comedy triumphs in court of confusion
  12. Patience is key to navigating Illinois’ Obamacare marketplace
  13. Hawaii residents, lawmakers frustrated with health connector glitches
  14. Healthy young, key to Obamacare, aren’t buying it
  15. NM’s health exchange tries to lure ‘young invincibles’
  16. Obama drama: Senator blames governor for big rate hikes
  17. Progressive group navigates Oregon students through Obamacare
  18. Maddening: Trying to log onto federal health care site
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  24. Obamacare effect? 9 companies exit Nebraska’s health insurance market
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  26. Which way do we go? Obamacare navigator registration in TN in question
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  28. CPA says hype over Obamacare small business tax credit is misleading
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  30. Reports of Obamacare fraud emerge in Tennessee
  31. After two weeks, FL online Obamacare enrollees are hard to find
  32. Illinois state governor touts 100K Obamacare enrollees, all in Medicaid
  33. Kansas lawmaker calls for crackdown on Obamacare navigators
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  35. Hawaii’s Obamacare exchange relaunches with more glitches
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  69. Just 172 in NM have completed Obamacare applications: ‘Woefully inadequate,’ says NMIX board member
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  73. Numbers don’t lie: In Illinois, Obamacare means Medicaid
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  76. People demand answers over Oregon’s Obamacare fail
  77. Calif. says ‘no’ to Obamacare freebies, makes own law
  78. HI health exchange violates federal law, League of Women Voters say
  79. Obamacare video winner: ‘Forget about the price tag’
  80. Harvard study finds ‘striking’ rejection of Obamacare by young Americans
  81. HI health exchange has signed up 574 people, for about $348,000 apiece
  82. Are the uninsured getting Obamacare coverage in Illinois?
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  84. Lost in translation: Once-supportive Hispanics turning backs on Obama, ACA
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Eric Boehm