By Grant Bosse
CONCORD – New Hampshire’s U.S. Rep. Frank Guinta is deadlocked in a potential rematch with the candidate he ousted in 2010, while U.S. Rep. Charlie Bass has a narrow lead in a rematch, according to new polling data from Watchdog.org
In New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District, Republican Guinta and Democrat Carol Shea-Porter each garner 41 percent support from likely voters. Guinta, a former Mayor of Manchester, defeated Shea-Porter 54-42 percent in 2010. Shea-Porter has already announced plans to run again, though she will likely face a crowded field in the Democratic Primary. Seven percent support some other candidate, while 10 percent are not sure who they would vote for, according to the poll.
The telephone survey of 500 likely New Hampshire voters in each district was conducted earlier this month by Pulse Opinion Research LLC, an independent public opinion research firm that used automated polling methodology and procedures licensed from Rasmussen Reports LLC. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, with a 95 percent level of confidence.
In the 2nd District, Republican Bass leads Democrat Anne McLean-Kuster 39 percent-35 percent, just inside the poll’s margin of error, with 14 percent supporting some other candidate and 13 percent not sure.
Bass served six terms in Congress from 1994 to 2006 before returning to Washington in 2010 by edging McLane-Kuster 48 -47 percent. McLane-Kuster is seeking a rematch with Bass this fall. The primary field in each congressional district won’t be set until New Hampshire’s filing period in June.